AccuScore has the Celtics as heavy 84.5 percent favorites to win Monday night. The average score after AccuScore ran its 10,000-plus simulations is 99-88.

Line: Celtics -9, Total: 195 (check The Linemakers on Sporting News’ odds page for current NBA point spreads and totals)

There’s a 55 percent chance the Celtics cover a -9 spread, a two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. In the past week, when the ATS sim has differed by 0.5 to 1.5 point when compared to Vegas, AccuScore has gone 8-4 (66.7%, +360 units).

Boston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home.

AccuScore Best Bet: There’s nearly a 62 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 195, a four-star (out of four) hot trend. In the past week, when the total betting line has been between 190.5 to 195, AccuScore has gone 5-2 (71.4%, +280 units).

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games.

Projected Leaders

Robert Covington: 12 points, 5 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 2 TOs

Isaiah Thomas: 18 points, 5 assists, 3 rebounds, 1 steal, 3 TOs

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