Detroit Tigers +107 (vs Cleveland Indians) Kyle Lobstein vs Carlos Carrasco

The Tigers have been regular visitors to AccuScore’s value-picks section and have found their way here again. They got beaten badly on Friday by the Indians and are not likely to make the same mistakes again. Despite losing four out of their last five games, the Tigers out-match the Indians.

Lobstein provides a pitching edge for the Tigers vs. Indians’ batters, and AccuScore simulations predict Miguel Cabrera & Co. to score enough to win Sunday’s game. Oddsmakers have set the visitors as favorites, but AccuScore’s supercomputer picks Detroit by 57.4 percent probability, which converts to -134 odds.  Great value with Detroit +107!

Supporting trends: The Tigers are 9-2 vs. opponents with a losing record and 4-1 vs Indians….Cleveland is 2-5 as a road favorite.

Miami Marlins +104 (vs Washington Nationals) Dan Haren vs Gio Gonzalez

The Marlins have impressed so far and have beaten the Nationals twice already. It is always difficult to take the third in a row, especially against a quality team like Nationals, but AccuScore simulations predict the Marlins to win by 57.8 percent probability. This adds up to odds of -136, which means the +104 presents excellent value.

The Nationals are 2-6 on the road and 1-4 road favorites….The Marlins are 2-0 vs. the Nationals and 2-1 as home underdogs. 

Colorado Rockies -120 (vs San Francisco Giants) Tyler Matzek vs Tim Lincecum

The reigning World Series champions have somewhat disappointed early on this season. The Rockies, on the other hand, have been and are a team from whom nobody knows what to expect.  After AccuScore’s 10,000 simulations, we predict the Rockies to have a 60.7 percent chance to win on Sunday, which indicates odds of -154 for the home team. As the oddsmakers have set the line at -120, there’s nice value to be found on the favorite.

Supporting trend: The Rockies are 7-1 vs. opponents with a losing record and 4-1 vs the Giants.

AccuScore’s year-to-date record for Linemakers: 15-16 (-.35 units)

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