Detroit Tigers -118 (vs. New York Yankees) CC Sabathia vs Alfredo Simon It might seem like milking it a bit, but the Tigers are still undervalued by the bookmakers, even with their solid efforts (bar a 12-3 loss vs. the White Sox). The Yankees did a good job against the Rays, but this time, the opposition is something else completely. There’s great value in Detroit at -118 – the Tigers’ winning percentage is 64.9 in AccuScore simulations, which means they should be large -185 favorites.
Supporting trends: The Tigers are 5-1 at home and 8-1 when playing teams with greater than a .501 record.
Cincinnati Reds +104 (@ Milwaukee Brewers) Anthony DeSclafani vs Wily Peralta The Reds have had a disappointing beginning of the season, but not as miserable as the Brewers. Tonight two struggling teams try to take advantage of each other’s woes. AccuScore’s prediction leans to the visitors, with the Reds having more quality and a marginal edge on the mound. The win probabilities, per AccuScore sims, are 56.6 percent for the Reds and 43.4 percent for the Brewers. The odds, based on AccuScore’s projections, should be Cincy -130.
AccuScore’s year-to-date record for Linemakers: 8-10 (-1.9 units)
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