Here are three picks for Wednesday:
Kansas City Royals -119 (@ Minnesota Twins) Edinson Volquez vs Kyle Gibson The unbeaten Royals are clear favorites in this matchup, with 62 percent winning probability. The bookmakers are not as convinced, as the -119 odds imply a 54.3 percent chance. Great value for a much better team, and we don’t think this is the day for KC’s winning streak to end.
Boston Red Sox -120 (vs. Washington Nationals) Gio Gonzalez vs Wade Miley It might be repetitive, but we’ll ride with Boston for a third straight game. It’s apparent something is not right with the Nationals. The Red Sox look good and confident, and we have them winning 62.7 percent of 10 000 simulations. Boston still presents good value, with the -120 odds implying a 55.6 percent chance.
Oakland Athletics +100 (@ Houston Astros) Drew Pomeranz vs Collin McHugh Quite an even matchup by all measures, but we get some value with Oakland, the slightly better team. The oddsmakers call this game a coin flip, but we give the A’s a 53.2 percent chance to win. Not a massive difference, but enough to recommend a play.
Bonus pick: The Tigers looked solid again yesterday against the Pirates, and we give them a 51.5 percent chance to win today. Bookmakers have lost their faith and with odds of +140, give the Tigers only a 41.5 percent chance to win. Thrill seekers should take a look at the underdog.
AccuScore’s year-to-date record on LM: 5-1 (+3.97 units)
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