AccuScore has the Pelicans as heavy 71.9 percent favorites to win which is in line with what the books are expecting. Even though AccuScore and sports books are in agreement on the side, laying the -250 money-line price required to side with the Pelicans is prohibitive. The total and spread offer better plays for bettors.
The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 107-101. There’s about a 60 percent chance the total combined score goes OVER 201.5.
AccuScore Best Bet: There’s a 52 percent chance the Pelicans cover a -6.5 spread, a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. In the past week, when the home team has been favored by 6-7.5 points, AccuScore is 5-1 (83 percent, +390 units). New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last five games when playing at home against Denver.
AccuScore Box Score: The Pelicans out-rebound the Nuggets by about 9-10 total rebounds in simulations, including 3-4 more offensive boards. More often than not, the team dictating the pace and tempo of the game is the side that’s dominating the glass.
Projected Leaders Ty Lawson: 16 points, 5 assists, 3 rebounds, 1 steal, 4 TOs Anthony Davis: 20 points, 3 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 1 block, 2 TO
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