AccuScore has the Warriors as solid 82.9 percent favorites to win, a number that would warrant a -484 money-line price. Not only is that too risky to lay, but it’s not even a value as Vegas books are offering the Warriors at -1000 on the money-line.

The spread and total are worth considering though. The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 108-97. There is nearly a 55 percent chance Sacramento covers a +12 spread. Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last six games on the road.

AccuScore Best Bet: There is a 56.5 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 210, a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. The total has gone UNDER in six of Golden State’s last seven games at home.

Keep an Eye Out: The Warriors averaged four more made three-pointers in simulations than the Kings and attempted about 6-7 more shots from beyond the arc. 

Projected Leaders DeMarcus Cousins: 18 points, 11 rebound, 2 assists, 1 block, 1 steal, 3 TOs  Stephen Curry: 21 points, 8 assists, 5 rebounds, 2 steals, 3 TOs

Visit AccuScore.com for more NBA picks

Play Daily Fantasy Basketball