AccuScore has the Clippers as solid 76.9 percent favorites to win. That number warrants a -332 price which is in the same neighborhood as what bettors can find at the window.
The better value may be the 55.7 percent chance the Clippers have to cover a -7.5 spread, a 4-star (out of 4) AccuScore hot trend. The Clippers are 4-1 ATS in its last five games at home.
The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 111-102. There is a 52.5 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 214.5
The biggest difference between the two team’s box scores is the rebounding. L.A. averages 5-6 more rebounds than does Phoenix in simulations, including about three more offensive boards.
Keep an Eye Out: Both sides are projected to attempt about 25 three-pointers and make 8-9. Keep an eye on which side is hitting at a more efficient rate early on – if the Clippers can get J.J. Redick going in the first quarter, it might be a long night for the Suns. Redick is projected to finish 2-of-5 from three-point range. In the last three games, Redick is averaging 21.3 points on 61.1 percent shooting.
Projected Leaders Eric Bledsoe: 16 points, 6 assists, 5 rebounds, 1 steal, 1 block, 4 TOs Blake Griffin: 23 points, 9 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 steal, 1 block, 2 TOs
Supporting Trends: Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last six games when playing the Clippers.
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