AccuScore has the Warriors as heavy 81.9 percent favorites to win, slightly less than the 83.3 percent chance the books are giving them. The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 108-97. There’s about a 54 percent chance of the Warriors covering a -9.5 spread. Chicago is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games. Golden State is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home. Neither the money-line nor the spread is a strong play, but the total provides more profit potential.
AccuScore Best Bet: There is a 58 percent chance the total combined score stays UNDER 210.5, one of just two four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trends on the NBA slate for the night. The total has gone UNDER in five of Chicago’s last six games on the road.
AccuScore Box Score: Chicago averages 4-5 more turnovers than Golden State. Turning the ball over that many times on the road, especially against what is currently the league’s best team, is no recipe for success.
Projected Leaders Derrick Rose: 16 points, 5 assists, 3 rebounds, 1 steal, 4 TOs Klay Thompson: 20 points, 3 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 1 block, 2 TOs
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